The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election in Berlin features a fragmented field, with recent August polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 19-22 percent, followed closely by the AfD, Greens, and a weakened SPD. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from voter dissatisfaction over housing shortages, infrastructure strains, and security issues, compounded by national economic pressures on the federal CDU-SPD government. This dynamic supports trader focus on potential post-election coalitions that exclude the AfD due to the prevailing firewall, while the entry of 16- and 17-year-old voters and the need for at least 66 seats for a majority add uncertainty to coalition math and timing of negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-12-31
绿党
88%
社民党
86%
Linke
75%
基民盟
46%
FDP
20%
BSW
4%
德国选择党
2%
FW
1%
$4,340 交易量
绿党
$83 交易量
88%
社民党
$177 交易量
86%
Linke
$833 交易量
75%
基民盟
$848 交易量
46%
FDP
$209 交易量
20%
BSW
$280 交易量
4%
德国选择党
$1,269 交易量
2%
FW
$641 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election in Berlin features a fragmented field, with recent August polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 19-22 percent, followed closely by the AfD, Greens, and a weakened SPD. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from voter dissatisfaction over housing shortages, infrastructure strains, and security issues, compounded by national economic pressures on the federal CDU-SPD government. This dynamic supports trader focus on potential post-election coalitions that exclude the AfD due to the prevailing firewall, while the entry of 16- and 17-year-old voters and the need for at least 66 seats for a majority add uncertainty to coalition math and timing of negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$4,340结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election in Berlin features a fragmented field, with recent August polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 19-22 percent, followed closely by the AfD, Greens, and a weakened SPD. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from voter dissatisfaction over housing shortages, infrastructure strains, and security issues, compounded by national economic pressures on the federal CDU-SPD government. This dynamic supports trader focus on potential post-election coalitions that exclude the AfD due to the prevailing firewall, while the entry of 16- and 17-year-old voters and the need for at least 66 seats for a majority add uncertainty to coalition math and timing of negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
交易量
$4,340结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election in Berlin features a fragmented field, with recent August polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 19-22 percent, followed closely by the AfD, Greens, and a weakened SPD. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner faces headwinds from voter dissatisfaction over housing shortages, infrastructure strains, and security issues, compounded by national economic pressures on the federal CDU-SPD government. This dynamic supports trader focus on potential post-election coalitions that exclude the AfD due to the prevailing firewall, while the entry of 16- and 17-year-old voters and the need for at least 66 seats for a majority add uncertainty to coalition math and timing of negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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