Recent polling for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places Die Linke steadily near 13 percent, sustaining tight market pricing between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent brackets. This level reflects a modest improvement from the party's 11 percent result in 2021 amid stable eastern German support, though competition from the BSW splinter for left-leaning voters and the five-percent threshold dynamics for smaller parties introduce volatility. AfD dominance at 41-43 percent and CDU positioning at 22-24 percent have not materially altered Linke trends in the latest surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap. With the campaign nearing its end, final turnout patterns, candidate visibility for Eva von Angern, and any late shifts among undecided voters could determine whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the narrow band currently favored by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9-12% 43%
12-15% 41%
15%+ 6%
<9% 4.3%
<9%
4%
9-12%
43%
12-15%
41%
15%+
6%
9-12% 43%
12-15% 41%
15%+ 6%
<9% 4.3%
<9%
4%
9-12%
43%
12-15%
41%
15%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election places Die Linke steadily near 13 percent, sustaining tight market pricing between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent brackets. This level reflects a modest improvement from the party's 11 percent result in 2021 amid stable eastern German support, though competition from the BSW splinter for left-leaning voters and the five-percent threshold dynamics for smaller parties introduce volatility. AfD dominance at 41-43 percent and CDU positioning at 22-24 percent have not materially altered Linke trends in the latest surveys from INSA, pollytix, and Infratest dimap. With the campaign nearing its end, final turnout patterns, candidate visibility for Eva von Angern, and any late shifts among undecided voters could determine whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the narrow band currently favored by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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