The newly redrawn Texas 33rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting enacted in 2025 preserved a heavily Democratic voter base in the Dallas area, with the seat showing a partisan lean exceeding D+18. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson and consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Republican candidate faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,885 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,056 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Texas 33rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting enacted in 2025 preserved a heavily Democratic voter base in the Dallas area, with the seat showing a partisan lean exceeding D+18. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson and consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Republican candidate faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The newly redrawn Texas 33rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting enacted in 2025 preserved a heavily Democratic voter base in the Dallas area, with the seat showing a partisan lean exceeding D+18. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson and consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Republican candidate faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,941结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly redrawn Texas 33rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Redistricting enacted in 2025 preserved a heavily Democratic voter base in the Dallas area, with the seat showing a partisan lean exceeding D+18. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson and consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Republican candidate faces structural barriers in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. A late scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable safe seats indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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