Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,295 交易量
$38,295 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$38,295 交易量
$38,295 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,341 交易量
90%
民主党
$18,954 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,295结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,295结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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