Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval near multi-month lows around 34-38%, with some surveys hitting fresh lows near 33% amid softening support from independents and certain demographic groups. This environment creates a slight trader lean toward a weekly decline, balanced by historical weekly volatility in approval metrics and steady partisan backing that can produce small rebounds. Key near-term influences include any new economic data releases, legislative developments on Capitol Hill, or high-profile administration actions that could shift sentiment rapidly in either direction before the next round of tracking polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
48% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-28
上升
48% 概率
最新
最新
2026-08-28
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval near multi-month lows around 34-38%, with some surveys hitting fresh lows near 33% amid softening support from independents and certain demographic groups. This environment creates a slight trader lean toward a weekly decline, balanced by historical weekly volatility in approval metrics and steady partisan backing that can produce small rebounds. Key near-term influences include any new economic data releases, legislative developments on Capitol Hill, or high-profile administration actions that could shift sentiment rapidly in either direction before the next round of tracking polls.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval near multi-month lows around 34-38%, with some surveys hitting fresh lows near 33% amid softening support from independents and certain demographic groups. This environment creates a slight trader lean toward a weekly decline, balanced by historical weekly volatility in approval metrics and steady partisan backing that can produce small rebounds. Key near-term influences include any new economic data releases, legislative developments on Capitol Hill, or high-profile administration actions that could shift sentiment rapidly in either direction before the next round of tracking polls.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's approval near multi-month lows around 34-38%, with some surveys hitting fresh lows near 33% amid softening support from independents and certain demographic groups. This environment creates a slight trader lean toward a weekly decline, balanced by historical weekly volatility in approval metrics and steady partisan backing that can produce small rebounds. Key near-term influences include any new economic data releases, legislative developments on Capitol Hill, or high-profile administration actions that could shift sentiment rapidly in either direction before the next round of tracking polls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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