Trump’s established Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 19 posts per day through mid-2026 with frequent late-night spikes exceeding 100 posts in single sessions, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome at 52.5 percent for the August 21-28 window. Recent platform developments, including sharply lower visitor traffic and a new paid early-access service facing legal challenges, have not altered his personal output patterns. Ongoing policy debates and geopolitical topics continue to drive engagement volume, while the eight-day period’s timing near standard weekly rhythms leaves room for variance based on any sudden announcements or market-moving events. Lower ranges below 160 posts carry reduced implied probabilities reflecting these historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200+ 68%
160-179 38%
180-199 20%
40-59 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
<20
4%
20-39
5%
40-59
8%
60-79
8%
80-99
7%
100-119
8%
120-139
31%
140-159
7%
160-179
38%
180-199
20%
200+
53%
200+ 68%
160-179 38%
180-199 20%
40-59 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
<20
$5 交易量
4%
20-39
$15 交易量
5%
40-59
$5 交易量
8%
60-79
$5 交易量
8%
80-99
$10 交易量
7%
100-119
$5 交易量
8%
120-139
$40 交易量
31%
140-159
$36 交易量
7%
160-179
$46 交易量
38%
180-199
$83 交易量
20%
200+
$51 交易量
53%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 19 posts per day through mid-2026 with frequent late-night spikes exceeding 100 posts in single sessions, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome at 52.5 percent for the August 21-28 window. Recent platform developments, including sharply lower visitor traffic and a new paid early-access service facing legal challenges, have not altered his personal output patterns. Ongoing policy debates and geopolitical topics continue to drive engagement volume, while the eight-day period’s timing near standard weekly rhythms leaves room for variance based on any sudden announcements or market-moving events. Lower ranges below 160 posts carry reduced implied probabilities reflecting these historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$241结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 19 posts per day through mid-2026 with frequent late-night spikes exceeding 100 posts in single sessions, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome at 52.5 percent for the August 21-28 window. Recent platform developments, including sharply lower visitor traffic and a new paid early-access service facing legal challenges, have not altered his personal output patterns. Ongoing policy debates and geopolitical topics continue to drive engagement volume, while the eight-day period’s timing near standard weekly rhythms leaves room for variance based on any sudden announcements or market-moving events. Lower ranges below 160 posts carry reduced implied probabilities reflecting these historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$241结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump’s established Truth Social activity, averaging roughly 19 posts per day through mid-2026 with frequent late-night spikes exceeding 100 posts in single sessions, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome at 52.5 percent for the August 21-28 window. Recent platform developments, including sharply lower visitor traffic and a new paid early-access service facing legal challenges, have not altered his personal output patterns. Ongoing policy debates and geopolitical topics continue to drive engagement volume, while the eight-day period’s timing near standard weekly rhythms leaves room for variance based on any sudden announcements or market-moving events. Lower ranges below 160 posts carry reduced implied probabilities reflecting these historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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