Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts remain closely contested ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats currently holding seven seats and Republicans ten following 2024 flips in several eastern districts. Trader consensus around nine or ten Democratic seats reflects the four highly competitive Republican-held districts (PA-01, PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10) that decided by narrow margins last cycle, where Democratic challengers secured nominations in May 2026 primaries with support from Governor Josh Shapiro. National generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge, combined with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, supports the elevated odds for modest net gains while the spread across eight through eleven outcomes captures uncertainty over turnout, candidate strength, and any late-cycle shifts in those battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10 37%
9 36%
8 17%
11 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于7个
26%
7
5%
8
17%
9
24%
10
37%
11
12%
12+
2%
10 37%
9 36%
8 17%
11 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于7个
$123 交易量
26%
7
$123 交易量
5%
8
$228 交易量
17%
9
$171 交易量
24%
10
$369 交易量
37%
11
$247 交易量
12%
12+
$123 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts remain closely contested ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats currently holding seven seats and Republicans ten following 2024 flips in several eastern districts. Trader consensus around nine or ten Democratic seats reflects the four highly competitive Republican-held districts (PA-01, PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10) that decided by narrow margins last cycle, where Democratic challengers secured nominations in May 2026 primaries with support from Governor Josh Shapiro. National generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge, combined with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, supports the elevated odds for modest net gains while the spread across eight through eleven outcomes captures uncertainty over turnout, candidate strength, and any late-cycle shifts in those battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
交易量
$1,383结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts remain closely contested ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats currently holding seven seats and Republicans ten following 2024 flips in several eastern districts. Trader consensus around nine or ten Democratic seats reflects the four highly competitive Republican-held districts (PA-01, PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10) that decided by narrow margins last cycle, where Democratic challengers secured nominations in May 2026 primaries with support from Governor Josh Shapiro. National generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge, combined with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, supports the elevated odds for modest net gains while the spread across eight through eleven outcomes captures uncertainty over turnout, candidate strength, and any late-cycle shifts in those battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,383结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts remain closely contested ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with Democrats currently holding seven seats and Republicans ten following 2024 flips in several eastern districts. Trader consensus around nine or ten Democratic seats reflects the four highly competitive Republican-held districts (PA-01, PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10) that decided by narrow margins last cycle, where Democratic challengers secured nominations in May 2026 primaries with support from Governor Josh Shapiro. National generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge, combined with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, supports the elevated odds for modest net gains while the spread across eight through eleven outcomes captures uncertainty over turnout, candidate strength, and any late-cycle shifts in those battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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