Traders see the August 14-21 window as closely contested because Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically fluctuated with breaking political news, campaign events, and policy announcements rather than following a fixed schedule. The narrow spread among bins from 120–159 and 200+ reflects uncertainty over whether the period will include routine updates or an intensified burst tied to legislative developments or international developments. Without major confirmed events yet scheduled inside the resolution window, markets price in a typical range of roughly 140–180 posts while leaving room for spikes if unexpected developments arise. Historical base rates from comparable weeks show similar clustering, underscoring why no single outcome has pulled decisively ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 19%
200+ 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
12%
120-139
13%
140-159
19%
160-179
13%
180-199
17%
200+
19%
140-159 19%
200+ 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<20
$1,093 交易量
<1%
20-39
$212 交易量
1%
40-59
$442 交易量
1%
60-79
$80 交易量
1%
80-99
$222 交易量
3%
100-119
$363 交易量
12%
120-139
$103 交易量
13%
140-159
$247 交易量
19%
160-179
$276 交易量
13%
180-199
$302 交易量
17%
200+
$575 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the August 14-21 window as closely contested because Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically fluctuated with breaking political news, campaign events, and policy announcements rather than following a fixed schedule. The narrow spread among bins from 120–159 and 200+ reflects uncertainty over whether the period will include routine updates or an intensified burst tied to legislative developments or international developments. Without major confirmed events yet scheduled inside the resolution window, markets price in a typical range of roughly 140–180 posts while leaving room for spikes if unexpected developments arise. Historical base rates from comparable weeks show similar clustering, underscoring why no single outcome has pulled decisively ahead.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the August 14-21 window as closely contested because Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically fluctuated with breaking political news, campaign events, and policy announcements rather than following a fixed schedule. The narrow spread among bins from 120–159 and 200+ reflects uncertainty over whether the period will include routine updates or an intensified burst tied to legislative developments or international developments. Without major confirmed events yet scheduled inside the resolution window, markets price in a typical range of roughly 140–180 posts while leaving room for spikes if unexpected developments arise. Historical base rates from comparable weeks show similar clustering, underscoring why no single outcome has pulled decisively ahead.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTraders see the August 14-21 window as closely contested because Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity has historically fluctuated with breaking political news, campaign events, and policy announcements rather than following a fixed schedule. The narrow spread among bins from 120–159 and 200+ reflects uncertainty over whether the period will include routine updates or an intensified burst tied to legislative developments or international developments. Without major confirmed events yet scheduled inside the resolution window, markets price in a typical range of roughly 140–180 posts while leaving room for spikes if unexpected developments arise. Historical base rates from comparable weeks show similar clustering, underscoring why no single outcome has pulled decisively ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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