Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
10%
120-139
15%
140-159
19%
160-179
17%
180-199
9%
200+
21%
200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
$759 交易量
<1%
20-39
$217 交易量
1%
40-59
$149 交易量
1%
60-79
$251 交易量
1%
80-99
$507 交易量
5%
100-119
$575 交易量
10%
120-139
$416 交易量
15%
140-159
$474 交易量
19%
160-179
$988 交易量
17%
180-199
$556 交易量
9%
200+
$818 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$5,709结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,709结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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