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娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?

icon for 娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?

娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?

14% 概率
Polymarket
最新

14% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natalie Harp serves as special assistant and executive assistant to President Trump, a role she has held since January 2025 with direct responsibility for logistics, information flow, and related duties in the West Wing. Recent reporting has centered on her unusual proximity to the president, including internal questions over the timing of her security clearance, which was finalized only after White House counsel involvement earlier in 2026. Political criticism, such as remarks by Sen. Jon Ossoff, and coverage of her longstanding loyalty have drawn attention but produced no official statements or actions indicating removal. No resignation announcements, personnel changes, or administration signals point to her departure before year-end, aligning with the market's strong consensus that she will remain in the position through December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$202
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natalie Harp serves as special assistant and executive assistant to President Trump, a role she has held since January 2025 with direct responsibility for logistics, information flow, and related duties in the West Wing. Recent reporting has centered on her unusual proximity to the president, including internal questions over the timing of her security clearance, which was finalized only after White House counsel involvement earlier in 2026. Political criticism, such as remarks by Sen. Jon Ossoff, and coverage of her longstanding loyalty have drawn attention but produced no official statements or actions indicating removal. No resignation announcements, personnel changes, or administration signals point to her departure before year-end, aligning with the market's strong consensus that she will remain in the position through December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$202
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"娜塔莉·哈普会在12月31日前不再担任总统特别助理吗?",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?"的当前领先者是"娜塔莉·哈普会在12月31日前不再担任总统特别助理吗?",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"娜塔莉·哈普( Natalie Harp )在12月31日前出任总统特别助理?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。