Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于30-33% 47%
27-30% 37%
<27% 35%
33%+ 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
<27%
35%
27-30%
37%
30-33%
47%
33%+
35%
30-33% 47%
27-30% 37%
<27% 35%
33%+ 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
<27%
$0 交易量
35%
27-30%
$0 交易量
37%
30-33%
$0 交易量
47%
33%+
$0 交易量
35%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election consistently places Social Democrats (S) support in the low 30s, with the latest Demoskop survey showing 30.2% and other trackers ranging from 30.2% to 31.8%. This stability underpins trader consensus favoring the 30-33% bracket as the modal outcome. The ruling right-wing coalition trails the centre-left opposition overall, though the gap has narrowed modestly since June amid steady S performance and limited volatility in recent weeks. No major shifts from events, leadership changes, or policy announcements have altered the trend, keeping probabilities clustered around mid-30s levels for adjacent ranges while reflecting the party's position as the largest but not dominant force in a fragmented electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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