The extremely tight Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, decided on August 11, has produced narrow margins that keep multiple 0.2% bracket outcomes near even odds in trader consensus. Hong’s progressive platform mobilized left-leaning voters, while Crowley benefited from Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment support in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, fundraising edges for Crowley, and debate over Hong’s past statements maintained the deadlock through election night. Remaining uncounted ballots from key counties and any potential certification challenges could still adjust the exact margin before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Hong 0.8–1% 96%
Hong 0.4–0.6% 49%
Hong 0.2–0.4% 49%
Hong 1%+ 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
Hong 1%+
48%
Hong 0.8–1%
96%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
25%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
49%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
49%
Hong <0.2%
25%
Crowley <0.2%
16%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
19%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
21%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
17%
Crowley 0.8–1%
20%
Crowley 1–1.2%
21%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
48%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
25%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
25%
Crowley 1.8–2%
25%
Crowley 2%+
44%
Hong 0.8–1% 96%
Hong 0.4–0.6% 49%
Hong 0.2–0.4% 49%
Hong 1%+ 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
Hong 1%+
$0 交易量
48%
Hong 0.8–1%
$0 交易量
96%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$0 交易量
25%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$0 交易量
49%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$0 交易量
49%
Hong <0.2%
$0 交易量
25%
Crowley <0.2%
$5 交易量
16%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$0 交易量
19%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$0 交易量
21%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$0 交易量
17%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$0 交易量
20%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$0 交易量
21%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$0 交易量
48%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$0 交易量
25%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$0 交易量
25%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$0 交易量
25%
Crowley 2%+
$20 交易量
44%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely tight Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, decided on August 11, has produced narrow margins that keep multiple 0.2% bracket outcomes near even odds in trader consensus. Hong’s progressive platform mobilized left-leaning voters, while Crowley benefited from Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment support in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, fundraising edges for Crowley, and debate over Hong’s past statements maintained the deadlock through election night. Remaining uncounted ballots from key counties and any potential certification challenges could still adjust the exact margin before resolution.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely tight Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, decided on August 11, has produced narrow margins that keep multiple 0.2% bracket outcomes near even odds in trader consensus. Hong’s progressive platform mobilized left-leaning voters, while Crowley benefited from Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment support in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, fundraising edges for Crowley, and debate over Hong’s past statements maintained the deadlock through election night. Remaining uncounted ballots from key counties and any potential certification challenges could still adjust the exact margin before resolution.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The extremely tight Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary between state Rep. Francesca Hong and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, decided on August 11, has produced narrow margins that keep multiple 0.2% bracket outcomes near even odds in trader consensus. Hong’s progressive platform mobilized left-leaning voters, while Crowley benefited from Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment support in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, fundraising edges for Crowley, and debate over Hong’s past statements maintained the deadlock through election night. Remaining uncounted ballots from key counties and any potential certification challenges could still adjust the exact margin before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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