Recent polls place Miljöpartiet support near 6.5–8%, reflecting steady but modest backing for the Greens ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Trader consensus across the four vote-share bins signals uncertainty driven by typical small-party volatility, competition within the centre-left bloc, and shifting priorities between climate policy and economic concerns. The party’s performance hinges on turnout among younger and urban voters plus any late momentum from environmental debates or coalition signals with the Social Democrats. A surge in green-issue salience or stronger left-bloc polling could push results above 9%, while weaker mobilization or gains by rivals like the Centre Party or Vänsterpartiet could anchor the outcome below 7%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7-9% 37%
<5% 36%
5-7% 36%
9%+ 36%
<5%
36%
5-7%
36%
7-9%
37%
9%+
36%
7-9% 37%
<5% 36%
5-7% 36%
9%+ 36%
<5%
36%
5-7%
36%
7-9%
37%
9%+
36%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Miljöpartiet support near 6.5–8%, reflecting steady but modest backing for the Greens ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Trader consensus across the four vote-share bins signals uncertainty driven by typical small-party volatility, competition within the centre-left bloc, and shifting priorities between climate policy and economic concerns. The party’s performance hinges on turnout among younger and urban voters plus any late momentum from environmental debates or coalition signals with the Social Democrats. A surge in green-issue salience or stronger left-bloc polling could push results above 9%, while weaker mobilization or gains by rivals like the Centre Party or Vänsterpartiet could anchor the outcome below 7%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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