**Recent polling in the run-up to the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD consistently at 40–43% support, positioning it for roughly 38–41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and explaining the market's heavy weighting on that range.** The party has roughly doubled its 2021 result (20.8%), while the incumbent CDU has fallen to 22–23%. Smaller parties (FDP, BSW) sit near or below the 5% threshold, which influences final seat distribution through the state's proportional system with potential overhang mandates. Multiple institutes (Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap) project the AfD below the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, though outcomes remain sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts among undecided voters and minor-party performance. All other major parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist, limiting post-election options but not altering the vote-to-seat math reflected in current pricing. The election itself occurs today, so trader consensus incorporates these late-campaign dynamics without resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38-41 74%
42-45 18%
34-37 6.9%
46-49 2.9%
$214,054 交易量
$214,054 交易量
2026-09-06
少于34
<1%
34-37
7%
38-41
74%
42-45
18%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
38-41 74%
42-45 18%
34-37 6.9%
46-49 2.9%
$214,054 交易量
$214,054 交易量
2026-09-06
少于34
$27,921 交易量
<1%
34-37
$48,197 交易量
7%
38-41
$44,710 交易量
74%
42-45
$33,510 交易量
18%
46-49
$33,837 交易量
3%
50+
$25,879 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the run-up to the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD consistently at 40–43% support, positioning it for roughly 38–41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and explaining the market's heavy weighting on that range.**
The party has roughly doubled its 2021 result (20.8%), while the incumbent CDU has fallen to 22–23%. Smaller parties (FDP, BSW) sit near or below the 5% threshold, which influences final seat distribution through the state's proportional system with potential overhang mandates. Multiple institutes (Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap) project the AfD below the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, though outcomes remain sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts among undecided voters and minor-party performance. All other major parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist, limiting post-election options but not altering the vote-to-seat math reflected in current pricing. The election itself occurs today, so trader consensus incorporates these late-campaign dynamics without resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
交易量
$214,054结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the run-up to the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD consistently at 40–43% support, positioning it for roughly 38–41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and explaining the market's heavy weighting on that range.**
The party has roughly doubled its 2021 result (20.8%), while the incumbent CDU has fallen to 22–23%. Smaller parties (FDP, BSW) sit near or below the 5% threshold, which influences final seat distribution through the state's proportional system with potential overhang mandates. Multiple institutes (Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap) project the AfD below the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, though outcomes remain sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts among undecided voters and minor-party performance. All other major parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist, limiting post-election options but not altering the vote-to-seat math reflected in current pricing. The election itself occurs today, so trader consensus incorporates these late-campaign dynamics without resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$214,054结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET**Recent polling in the run-up to the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD consistently at 40–43% support, positioning it for roughly 38–41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and explaining the market's heavy weighting on that range.** The party has roughly doubled its 2021 result (20.8%), while the incumbent CDU has fallen to 22–23%. Smaller parties (FDP, BSW) sit near or below the 5% threshold, which influences final seat distribution through the state's proportional system with potential overhang mandates. Multiple institutes (Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap) project the AfD below the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, though outcomes remain sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts among undecided voters and minor-party performance. All other major parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist, limiting post-election options but not altering the vote-to-seat math reflected in current pricing. The election itself occurs today, so trader consensus incorporates these late-campaign dynamics without resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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