Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AfD 15-20% 51%
德国选择党 20-25% 36%
AfD 25%+ 29%
AfD 10-15% 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
AfD 25%+
29%
德国选择党 20-25%
44%
AfD 15-20%
40%
AfD 10-15%
17%
德国选择党 <10%
2%
其他
1%
AfD 15-20% 51%
德国选择党 20-25% 36%
AfD 25%+ 29%
AfD 10-15% 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
AfD 25%+
$59 交易量
29%
德国选择党 20-25%
$225 交易量
44%
AfD 15-20%
$295 交易量
40%
AfD 10-15%
$251 交易量
17%
德国选择党 <10%
$59 交易量
2%
其他
$507 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,396结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$1,396结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 PM ETRecent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding a stable lead of roughly 18-21 percentage points over the CDU, with the right-wing party at 40-43% and the center-right incumbent party at 22-23%. Multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap confirm this positioning, with the Linke, SPD, and Greens trailing further behind and smaller parties like the FDP and BSW at risk of missing the 5% threshold. The AfD's consistent advantage stems from long-term shifts in voter preferences in the eastern state, while other parties maintain a firewall against coalitions. These trends position a 15-20 point margin as the consensus outcome among traders, reflecting the latest campaign dynamics ahead of election night.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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