Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 38%
The Debut 15.0%
Digger 14%
Obsession 11%
$29,773 交易量
$29,773 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
38%
The Debut
20%
Digger
14%
Obsession
11%
The Invite
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Drama
3%
Josephine
2%
Club Kid
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Fatherland
1%
Elsinore
1%
The Black Ball
1%
Fjord
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 38%
The Debut 15.0%
Digger 14%
Obsession 11%
$29,773 交易量
$29,773 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
$23,717 交易量
38%
The Debut
$1,034 交易量
20%
Digger
$2,096 交易量
14%
Obsession
$454 交易量
11%
The Invite
$59 交易量
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 交易量
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$69 交易量
3%
The Drama
$39 交易量
3%
Josephine
$59 交易量
2%
Club Kid
$43 交易量
1%
A Place in Hell
$69 交易量
1%
The Odyssey
$69 交易量
1%
Fatherland
$40 交易量
1%
Elsinore
$40 交易量
1%
The Black Ball
$107 交易量
1%
Fjord
$1,690 交易量
1%
Forgotten Island
$79 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$29,773结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,773结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETWild Horse Nine leads early trader consensus in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market, supported by Martin McDonagh’s awards pedigree, a high-profile Venice premiere with strong reviews for its sharp dialogue and ensemble, and Searchlight’s campaign positioning ahead of a November release. The field remains wide open, with The Debut, Digger, Obsession, and Fjord clustered behind on the strength of their directors’ reputations and studio backing while most contenders await wider release or critical reception. Traders are pricing in the impact of upcoming guild nominations and WGA recognition as key swing factors in a category where original scripts often reward distinctive voices over box-office scale. Late festival premieres and review aggregates could quickly recalibrate implied probabilities before nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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