Julianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳女主角
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 14%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 交易量
$133,344 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
65%
Inde Navarrette
14%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 14%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 交易量
$133,344 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
$89,421 交易量
65%
Inde Navarrette
$25,359 交易量
14%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 交易量
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 交易量
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 交易量
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 交易量
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 交易量
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 交易量
1%
Léa Seydoux
$847 交易量
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 交易量
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$133,344结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$133,344结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETJulianne Moore’s commanding 64.5% implied probability stems primarily from the rapturous early reception for her lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s community-theater comedy *The Debut*, which premiered at Telluride in September 2026 and quickly positioned her as the frontrunner. Critics have praised Moore’s fearless, comedic turn as a disaffected housewife chasing a stage role, generating the kind of awards-season momentum that historically favors established Oscar winners seeking a second statue. Earlier contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession*, Renate Reinsve, and Sandra Hüller remain in the mix at lower prices, but lack comparable recent festival heat. With *The Debut* slated for a December 11 release and additional fall festival screenings ahead, traders are pricing in strong precursor potential while the field stays fluid until guild and critics’ awards begin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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