Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a Ballon d'Or top-three finish after a record 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he exceeded 65 goals across competitions while securing Bundesliga honors, followed by multiple World Cup strikes for England. Lamine Yamal sits close behind on the strength of Barcelona's domestic success and Spain's tournament run, which delivered a World Cup title and standout individual displays before his 20th birthday. Traders also price in Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi based on club consistency, Golden Ball nods, and historical voter patterns that reward sustained output plus major international impact. The October 26 ceremony in London leaves limited time for late-season surges or injuries to shift consensus before final voting closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,272 交易量
Harry Kane
95%
Lamine Yamal
70%
Kylian Mbappé
61%
Rodri
44%
Lionel Messi
23%
Ousmane Dembélé
23%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
19%
Bruno Fernandes
10%
Vitinha
10%
Bukayo Saka
8%
Michael Olise
8%
Raphinha
5%
Fabian Ruiz
4%
Jude Bellingham
17%
Erling Haaland
4%
Desire Doue
4%
Luis Diaz
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Declan Rice
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Pedri
2%
Enzo Fernandez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Dominik Szoboszlai
2%
Federico Valverde
2%
Julian Alvarez
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Pau Cubarsi
16%
Rodrygo
<1%
$22,272 交易量
Harry Kane
95%
Lamine Yamal
70%
Kylian Mbappé
61%
Rodri
44%
Lionel Messi
23%
Ousmane Dembélé
23%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
19%
Bruno Fernandes
10%
Vitinha
10%
Bukayo Saka
8%
Michael Olise
8%
Raphinha
5%
Fabian Ruiz
4%
Jude Bellingham
17%
Erling Haaland
4%
Desire Doue
4%
Luis Diaz
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Declan Rice
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Pedri
2%
Enzo Fernandez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Dominik Szoboszlai
2%
Federico Valverde
2%
Julian Alvarez
2%
Cole Palmer
2%
Pau Cubarsi
16%
Rodrygo
<1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a Ballon d'Or top-three finish after a record 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich, where he exceeded 65 goals across competitions while securing Bundesliga honors, followed by multiple World Cup strikes for England. Lamine Yamal sits close behind on the strength of Barcelona's domestic success and Spain's tournament run, which delivered a World Cup title and standout individual displays before his 20th birthday. Traders also price in Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi based on club consistency, Golden Ball nods, and historical voter patterns that reward sustained output plus major international impact. The October 26 ceremony in London leaves limited time for late-season surges or injuries to shift consensus before final voting closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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