Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability due to the franchise's proven VFX dominance, Villeneuve's IMAX-scale vision, and its December 2026 release timing ahead of awards season. Prior installments delivered technical Oscars, and early teases plus Warner Bros. positioning reinforce expectations for groundbreaking desert and space effects. Project Hail Mary (13%) follows from its March 2026 screenings, Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi spectacle, and innovative puppetry/motion work on alien elements, though campaign momentum remains early. Godzilla Minus Zero (7%) draws from Takashi Yamazaki's prior win and November 2026 rollout, while The Odyssey (6.5%), Spider-Man: Brand New Day (4%), and Avengers: Doomsday (3%) reflect MCU scale tempered by historical Academy preferences. Numerous other titles at 50% show limited trading or unproven VFX narratives this far out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
沙丘：第三部 61%
拯救天堂计划 13%
哥斯拉-1.0 7%
奥德赛 7%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
61%
拯救天堂计划
13%
哥斯拉-1.0
7%
奥德赛
7%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
3%
沙丘：第三部 61%
拯救天堂计划 13%
哥斯拉-1.0 7%
奥德赛 7%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
沙丘：第三部
$2,037 交易量
61%
拯救天堂计划
$253 交易量
13%
哥斯拉-1.0
$199 交易量
7%
奥德赛
$219 交易量
7%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
$161 交易量
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
$304 交易量
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability due to the franchise's proven VFX dominance, Villeneuve's IMAX-scale vision, and its December 2026 release timing ahead of awards season. Prior installments delivered technical Oscars, and early teases plus Warner Bros. positioning reinforce expectations for groundbreaking desert and space effects. Project Hail Mary (13%) follows from its March 2026 screenings, Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi spectacle, and innovative puppetry/motion work on alien elements, though campaign momentum remains early. Godzilla Minus Zero (7%) draws from Takashi Yamazaki's prior win and November 2026 rollout, while The Odyssey (6.5%), Spider-Man: Brand New Day (4%), and Avengers: Doomsday (3%) reflect MCU scale tempered by historical Academy preferences. Numerous other titles at 50% show limited trading or unproven VFX narratives this far out.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$3,173结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability due to the franchise's proven VFX dominance, Villeneuve's IMAX-scale vision, and its December 2026 release timing ahead of awards season. Prior installments delivered technical Oscars, and early teases plus Warner Bros. positioning reinforce expectations for groundbreaking desert and space effects. Project Hail Mary (13%) follows from its March 2026 screenings, Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi spectacle, and innovative puppetry/motion work on alien elements, though campaign momentum remains early. Godzilla Minus Zero (7%) draws from Takashi Yamazaki's prior win and November 2026 rollout, while The Odyssey (6.5%), Spider-Man: Brand New Day (4%), and Avengers: Doomsday (3%) reflect MCU scale tempered by historical Academy preferences. Numerous other titles at 50% show limited trading or unproven VFX narratives this far out.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,173结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment at 67.5% implied probability due to the franchise's proven VFX dominance, Villeneuve's IMAX-scale vision, and its December 2026 release timing ahead of awards season. Prior installments delivered technical Oscars, and early teases plus Warner Bros. positioning reinforce expectations for groundbreaking desert and space effects. Project Hail Mary (13%) follows from its March 2026 screenings, Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi spectacle, and innovative puppetry/motion work on alien elements, though campaign momentum remains early. Godzilla Minus Zero (7%) draws from Takashi Yamazaki's prior win and November 2026 rollout, while The Odyssey (6.5%), Spider-Man: Brand New Day (4%), and Avengers: Doomsday (3%) reflect MCU scale tempered by historical Academy preferences. Numerous other titles at 50% show limited trading or unproven VFX narratives this far out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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