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icon for 艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)

艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)

icon for 艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)

艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)

超级碗LX中场秀(Bad Bunny主演) 98.3%

奥斯卡金像奖 2.9%

托尼奖 <1%

金球奖 <1%

Polymarket

$65,078 交易量

超级碗LX中场秀(Bad Bunny主演) 98.3%

奥斯卡金像奖 2.9%

托尼奖 <1%

金球奖 <1%

Polymarket

$65,078 交易量

超级碗LX中场秀(Bad Bunny主演)

$50,721 交易量

98%

奥斯卡金像奖

$7,194 交易量

3%

托尼奖

$2,763 交易量

1%

金球奖

$2,441 交易量

1%

格莱美奖

$1,960 交易量

<1%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands overwhelming market consensus at 98.5% due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime production—along with dominant viewership, intricate choreography, and technical execution that earned broad industry praise during the eligibility window. This live event outperformed the competing awards broadcasts in scale and innovation, aligning with recent voting patterns that have favored high-profile Super Bowl spectacles in the category. The Oscars, Golden Globes, Tonys, and Grammys trail far behind, reflecting their more traditional formats and comparatively modest nomination hauls. A realistic upset would require an unexpected late surge in guild or academy sentiment toward one of the prestige ceremonies, though such a shift appears improbable given the frontrunner’s sweeping precursor momentum and voter incentives.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65,078
结束日期
2026-09-14
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny commands overwhelming market consensus at 98.5% due to its record nine Emmy nominations—the most ever for a halftime production—along with dominant viewership, intricate choreography, and technical execution that earned broad industry praise during the eligibility window. This live event outperformed the competing awards broadcasts in scale and innovation, aligning with recent voting patterns that have favored high-profile Super Bowl spectacles in the category. The Oscars, Golden Globes, Tonys, and Grammys trail far behind, reflecting their more traditional formats and comparatively modest nomination hauls. A realistic upset would require an unexpected late surge in guild or academy sentiment toward one of the prestige ceremonies, though such a shift appears improbable given the frontrunner’s sweeping precursor momentum and voter incentives.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65,078
结束日期
2026-09-14
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

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常见问题

"艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"超级碗LX中场秀(Bad Bunny主演)",概率为 98%,其次是"奥斯卡金像奖",概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)"已产生 $65.1K 的总交易量(自Jul 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)"的当前领先者是"超级碗LX中场秀(Bad Bunny主演)",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"奥斯卡金像奖",概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"艾美奖2026 :杰出品种特辑(现场)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。