Noah Wyle’s commanding 95.5% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series reflect The Pitt’s dominant 2026 Emmy campaign, including 25 total nominations and his repeat bid after last year’s win for the HBO Max medical drama. The sophomore season sustained critical momentum with strong reviews, a Golden Globe victory, and Critics’ Choice recognition for Wyle’s layered portrayal of Dr. Robby, positioning the show as the frontrunner in a category where voters historically reward sustained narrative arcs and guild-level support. Sterling K. Brown, Rufus Sewell, Gary Oldman, and Mark Ruffalo trail with single-digit odds, as their series trail in overall buzz. An upset would require a late surge in final voting—running through late August ahead of the September 14 ceremony—or a surprising shift in academy sentiment away from the defending champion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出主角
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出主角
诺亚·怀尔——《深渊》 96%
Rufus Sewell –《外交官》 2.6%
斯特林·K·布朗 – 《天堂》 2.1%
加里·奥德曼——《慢马》 2.0%
$24,982 交易量
$24,982 交易量
2026-09-14
诺亚·怀尔——《深渊》
96%
Rufus Sewell –《外交官》
3%
斯特林·K·布朗 – 《天堂》
2%
加里·奥德曼——《慢马》
2%
马克·鲁法洛——《任务》
1%
诺亚·怀尔——《深渊》 96%
Rufus Sewell –《外交官》 2.6%
斯特林·K·布朗 – 《天堂》 2.1%
加里·奥德曼——《慢马》 2.0%
$24,982 交易量
$24,982 交易量
2026-09-14
诺亚·怀尔——《深渊》
$19,615 交易量
96%
Rufus Sewell –《外交官》
$1,376 交易量
3%
斯特林·K·布朗 – 《天堂》
$1,015 交易量
2%
加里·奥德曼——《慢马》
$1,967 交易量
2%
马克·鲁法洛——《任务》
$1,008 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Noah Wyle’s commanding 95.5% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series reflect The Pitt’s dominant 2026 Emmy campaign, including 25 total nominations and his repeat bid after last year’s win for the HBO Max medical drama. The sophomore season sustained critical momentum with strong reviews, a Golden Globe victory, and Critics’ Choice recognition for Wyle’s layered portrayal of Dr. Robby, positioning the show as the frontrunner in a category where voters historically reward sustained narrative arcs and guild-level support. Sterling K. Brown, Rufus Sewell, Gary Oldman, and Mark Ruffalo trail with single-digit odds, as their series trail in overall buzz. An upset would require a late surge in final voting—running through late August ahead of the September 14 ceremony—or a surprising shift in academy sentiment away from the defending champion.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
交易量
$24,982结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Noah Wyle’s commanding 95.5% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series reflect The Pitt’s dominant 2026 Emmy campaign, including 25 total nominations and his repeat bid after last year’s win for the HBO Max medical drama. The sophomore season sustained critical momentum with strong reviews, a Golden Globe victory, and Critics’ Choice recognition for Wyle’s layered portrayal of Dr. Robby, positioning the show as the frontrunner in a category where voters historically reward sustained narrative arcs and guild-level support. Sterling K. Brown, Rufus Sewell, Gary Oldman, and Mark Ruffalo trail with single-digit odds, as their series trail in overall buzz. An upset would require a late surge in final voting—running through late August ahead of the September 14 ceremony—or a surprising shift in academy sentiment away from the defending champion.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,982结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ETNoah Wyle’s commanding 95.5% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series reflect The Pitt’s dominant 2026 Emmy campaign, including 25 total nominations and his repeat bid after last year’s win for the HBO Max medical drama. The sophomore season sustained critical momentum with strong reviews, a Golden Globe victory, and Critics’ Choice recognition for Wyle’s layered portrayal of Dr. Robby, positioning the show as the frontrunner in a category where voters historically reward sustained narrative arcs and guild-level support. Sterling K. Brown, Rufus Sewell, Gary Oldman, and Mark Ruffalo trail with single-digit odds, as their series trail in overall buzz. An upset would require a late surge in final voting—running through late August ahead of the September 14 ceremony—or a surprising shift in academy sentiment away from the defending champion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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