Rhea Seehorn’s commanding market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her standout turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s critically acclaimed sci-fi drama Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s follow-up to Better Call Saul. The series earned 18 Emmy nominations, including key nods for Gilligan, while Seehorn captured Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins amid strong guild and critics’ momentum that positions her as the clear frontrunner heading into final-round voting. Keri Russell’s second-place standing stems from consistent voter recognition for The Diplomat and a recent SAG Award, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain longer shots despite nominations, with the Sept. 14 ceremony the key remaining catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
艾美奖2026 ：戏剧系列中的杰出女主角
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 77%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 16.4%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 5.1%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 2.3%
$25,565 交易量
$25,565 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
77%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
16%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
5%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
2%
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” 77%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》 16.4%
Zendaya –《亢奋》 5.1%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》 2.3%
$25,565 交易量
$25,565 交易量
2026-09-14
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”
$10,686 交易量
77%
凯丽·拉塞尔——《外交官》
$6,516 交易量
16%
Zendaya –《亢奋》
$3,583 交易量
5%
Carrie Coon——《镀金时代》
$2,348 交易量
2%
Chase Infiniti——《遗嘱》
$2,432 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s commanding market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her standout turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s critically acclaimed sci-fi drama Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s follow-up to Better Call Saul. The series earned 18 Emmy nominations, including key nods for Gilligan, while Seehorn captured Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins amid strong guild and critics’ momentum that positions her as the clear frontrunner heading into final-round voting. Keri Russell’s second-place standing stems from consistent voter recognition for The Diplomat and a recent SAG Award, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain longer shots despite nominations, with the Sept. 14 ceremony the key remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$25,565结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s commanding market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her standout turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s critically acclaimed sci-fi drama Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s follow-up to Better Call Saul. The series earned 18 Emmy nominations, including key nods for Gilligan, while Seehorn captured Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins amid strong guild and critics’ momentum that positions her as the clear frontrunner heading into final-round voting. Keri Russell’s second-place standing stems from consistent voter recognition for The Diplomat and a recent SAG Award, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain longer shots despite nominations, with the Sept. 14 ceremony the key remaining catalyst.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$25,565结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETRhea Seehorn’s commanding market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her standout turn as isolated novelist Carol Sturka in Apple TV+’s critically acclaimed sci-fi drama Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s follow-up to Better Call Saul. The series earned 18 Emmy nominations, including key nods for Gilligan, while Seehorn captured Critics’ Choice and Golden Globe wins amid strong guild and critics’ momentum that positions her as the clear frontrunner heading into final-round voting. Keri Russell’s second-place standing stems from consistent voter recognition for The Diplomat and a recent SAG Award, though her campaign trails in overall buzz. Zendaya, Carrie Coon, and Chase Infiniti remain longer shots despite nominations, with the Sept. 14 ceremony the key remaining catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题