The Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, fueled by its back-to-back wins in the category and a dominant sweep of the Critics Choice Real TV Awards earlier this year. Peacock’s aggressive campaign has highlighted the show’s fresh format, strong viewership, and Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, aligning with academy voters’ recent preference for innovative entries over established veterans. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, a resurgent Dancing with the Stars, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef trail far behind, reflecting limited momentum shifts in final voting. An upset remains possible only if late academy sentiment favors Survivor’s longevity narrative or another nominee’s production achievements, though such reversals appear unlikely with the September 14 ceremony imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出现实/竞赛系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出现实/竞赛系列
《叛徒》 91.0%
《与星共舞》 4.9%
《鲁保罗变装皇后秀》 3.9%
《幸存者》 3.6%
$31,951 交易量
$31,951 交易量
2026-09-14
《叛徒》
91%
《与星共舞》
5%
《鲁保罗变装皇后秀》
4%
《幸存者》
4%
《顶级厨师》
1%
《叛徒》 91.0%
《与星共舞》 4.9%
《鲁保罗变装皇后秀》 3.9%
《幸存者》 3.6%
$31,951 交易量
$31,951 交易量
2026-09-14
《叛徒》
$14,901 交易量
91%
《与星共舞》
$1,702 交易量
5%
《鲁保罗变装皇后秀》
$4,060 交易量
4%
《幸存者》
$9,747 交易量
4%
《顶级厨师》
$1,542 交易量
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, fueled by its back-to-back wins in the category and a dominant sweep of the Critics Choice Real TV Awards earlier this year. Peacock’s aggressive campaign has highlighted the show’s fresh format, strong viewership, and Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, aligning with academy voters’ recent preference for innovative entries over established veterans. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, a resurgent Dancing with the Stars, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef trail far behind, reflecting limited momentum shifts in final voting. An upset remains possible only if late academy sentiment favors Survivor’s longevity narrative or another nominee’s production achievements, though such reversals appear unlikely with the September 14 ceremony imminent.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
交易量
$31,951结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, fueled by its back-to-back wins in the category and a dominant sweep of the Critics Choice Real TV Awards earlier this year. Peacock’s aggressive campaign has highlighted the show’s fresh format, strong viewership, and Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, aligning with academy voters’ recent preference for innovative entries over established veterans. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, a resurgent Dancing with the Stars, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef trail far behind, reflecting limited momentum shifts in final voting. An upset remains possible only if late academy sentiment favors Survivor’s longevity narrative or another nominee’s production achievements, though such reversals appear unlikely with the September 14 ceremony imminent.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,951结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETThe Traitors commands overwhelming trader consensus at 91% implied probability for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, fueled by its back-to-back wins in the category and a dominant sweep of the Critics Choice Real TV Awards earlier this year. Peacock’s aggressive campaign has highlighted the show’s fresh format, strong viewership, and Alan Cumming’s hosting appeal, aligning with academy voters’ recent preference for innovative entries over established veterans. Nominees including Survivor’s milestone 50th season, a resurgent Dancing with the Stars, RuPaul’s Drag Race, and Top Chef trail far behind, reflecting limited momentum shifts in final voting. An upset remains possible only if late academy sentiment favors Survivor’s longevity narrative or another nominee’s production achievements, though such reversals appear unlikely with the September 14 ceremony imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题