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icon for 哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

icon for 哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

奥德赛 80%

沙丘:弥赛亚 10.1%

海梅计划 4.1%

野马九号 <1%

Polymarket

$118,373 交易量

奥德赛 80%

沙丘:弥赛亚 10.1%

海梅计划 4.1%

野马九号 <1%

Polymarket

$118,373 交易量

奥德赛

$31,636 交易量

80%

沙丘:弥赛亚

$58,446 交易量

10%

海梅计划

$7,467 交易量

4%

野马九号

$4,389 交易量

1%

社会清算

$3,472 交易量

1%

揭露日

$6,699 交易量

<1%

新娘!

$3,075 交易量

<1%

呼啸山庄

$3,190 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s commanding 79.5% implied probability stems from its early critical and voter enthusiasm following July 2026 Academy screenings, where Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic drew raves for its technical achievements, direction, and production values, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for double-digit nominations across Best Picture, Director, and below-the-line categories. Historical precedent favors such high-profile prestige blockbusters amassing the most nods when they generate broad industry momentum this early. Dune: Messiah trails at 10.1% due to anticipated strength in visual effects and sound but lacks comparable overall category depth, while Project Hail Mary’s 4.1% reflects solid acting and adapted screenplay prospects that are unlikely to match The Odyssey’s volume. Upcoming festival and guild reactions will test whether this early consensus holds.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$118,373
结束日期
2027-02-28
市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey’s commanding 79.5% implied probability stems from its early critical and voter enthusiasm following July 2026 Academy screenings, where Christopher Nolan’s IMAX-shot epic drew raves for its technical achievements, direction, and production values, positioning it as the clear frontrunner for double-digit nominations across Best Picture, Director, and below-the-line categories. Historical precedent favors such high-profile prestige blockbusters amassing the most nods when they generate broad industry momentum this early. Dune: Messiah trails at 10.1% due to anticipated strength in visual effects and sound but lacks comparable overall category depth, while Project Hail Mary’s 4.1% reflects solid acting and adapted screenplay prospects that are unlikely to match The Odyssey’s volume. Upcoming festival and guild reactions will test whether this early consensus holds.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$118,373
结束日期
2027-02-28
市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥德赛",概率为 80%,其次是"沙丘:弥赛亚",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 80¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 80%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"已产生 $118.4K 的总交易量(自Feb 2, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"的当前领先者是"奥德赛",概率为 80%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 80%。紧随其后的结果是"沙丘:弥赛亚",概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。