The active casting search for the next James Bond, with director Denis Villeneuve attached and auditions advancing toward an August round, drives the tight trader consensus across a crowded field. No official frontrunner or studio commitment has emerged, leaving implied probabilities clustered below 40 percent and reflecting uncertainty over which British or British-adjacent actor best fits the rebooted tone and age profile. Robert James-Collier’s narrow lead at 37.2 percent alongside Callum Turner and Jack Lowden near 30 percent highlights how recent screen tests, industry buzz, and historical precedent for lesser-known talents fuel ongoing shifts, while higher-profile names like Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit lower amid questions of availability and fit. Resolution remains distant until Amazon MGM signals a decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 30%
Josh O'Connor 23.3%
No Bond chosen 18.6%
Michael B Jordan 18.3%
$18,219 交易量
$18,219 交易量
Callum Turner
30%
Josh O'Connor
23%
No Bond chosen
19%
Michael B Jordan
18%
James Norton
14%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
12%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Paul Mescal
14%
Tom Holland
3%
Henry Cavill
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
15%
Pierce Brosnan
9%
Jack Lowdon
30%
Robert James-Collier
42%
Theo James
28%
Callum Turner 30%
Josh O'Connor 23.3%
No Bond chosen 18.6%
Michael B Jordan 18.3%
$18,219 交易量
$18,219 交易量
Callum Turner
30%
Josh O'Connor
23%
No Bond chosen
19%
Michael B Jordan
18%
James Norton
14%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
12%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Paul Mescal
14%
Tom Holland
3%
Henry Cavill
1%
Harris Dickinson
1%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
15%
Pierce Brosnan
9%
Jack Lowdon
30%
Robert James-Collier
42%
Theo James
28%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The active casting search for the next James Bond, with director Denis Villeneuve attached and auditions advancing toward an August round, drives the tight trader consensus across a crowded field. No official frontrunner or studio commitment has emerged, leaving implied probabilities clustered below 40 percent and reflecting uncertainty over which British or British-adjacent actor best fits the rebooted tone and age profile. Robert James-Collier’s narrow lead at 37.2 percent alongside Callum Turner and Jack Lowden near 30 percent highlights how recent screen tests, industry buzz, and historical precedent for lesser-known talents fuel ongoing shifts, while higher-profile names like Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit lower amid questions of availability and fit. Resolution remains distant until Amazon MGM signals a decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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