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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 30%

Josh O'Connor 23.3%

No Bond chosen 18.6%

Michael B Jordan 18.3%

Polymarket

$18,219 交易量

Callum Turner 30%

Josh O'Connor 23.3%

No Bond chosen 18.6%

Michael B Jordan 18.3%

Polymarket

$18,219 交易量

Callum Turner

$2,195 交易量

30%

Josh O'Connor

$1,944 交易量

23%

No Bond chosen

$5,668 交易量

19%

Michael B Jordan

$404 交易量

18%

James Norton

$400 交易量

14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$2,691 交易量

12%

Jacob Elordi

$836 交易量

11%

Paul Mescal

$645 交易量

14%

Tom Holland

$684 交易量

3%

Henry Cavill

$279 交易量

1%

Harris Dickinson

$376 交易量

1%

Tom Hardy

$325 交易量

7%

Timothee Chalamet

$380 交易量

15%

Pierce Brosnan

$351 交易量

9%

Jack Lowdon

$347 交易量

30%

Robert James-Collier

$303 交易量

42%

Theo James

$391 交易量

28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The active casting search for the next James Bond, with director Denis Villeneuve attached and auditions advancing toward an August round, drives the tight trader consensus across a crowded field. No official frontrunner or studio commitment has emerged, leaving implied probabilities clustered below 40 percent and reflecting uncertainty over which British or British-adjacent actor best fits the rebooted tone and age profile. Robert James-Collier’s narrow lead at 37.2 percent alongside Callum Turner and Jack Lowden near 30 percent highlights how recent screen tests, industry buzz, and historical precedent for lesser-known talents fuel ongoing shifts, while higher-profile names like Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit lower amid questions of availability and fit. Resolution remains distant until Amazon MGM signals a decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,219
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The active casting search for the next James Bond, with director Denis Villeneuve attached and auditions advancing toward an August round, drives the tight trader consensus across a crowded field. No official frontrunner or studio commitment has emerged, leaving implied probabilities clustered below 40 percent and reflecting uncertainty over which British or British-adjacent actor best fits the rebooted tone and age profile. Robert James-Collier’s narrow lead at 37.2 percent alongside Callum Turner and Jack Lowden near 30 percent highlights how recent screen tests, industry buzz, and historical precedent for lesser-known talents fuel ongoing shifts, while higher-profile names like Aaron Taylor-Johnson sit lower amid questions of availability and fit. Resolution remains distant until Amazon MGM signals a decision.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,219
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next James Bond actor?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Robert James-Collier",概率为 42%,其次是"Callum Turner",概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next James Bond actor?"已产生 $18.2K 的总交易量(自May 18, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next James Bond actor?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next James Bond actor?"的当前领先者是"Robert James-Collier",概率为 42%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"Callum Turner",概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next James Bond actor?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。