Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 56%
Avengers: Doomsday 21%
Toy Story 5 7%
Dune: Messiah 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
42%
Avengers: Doomsday
21%
Toy Story 5
7%
Dune: Messiah
5%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
30%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 56%
Avengers: Doomsday 21%
Toy Story 5 7%
Dune: Messiah 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$2,151 交易量
42%
Avengers: Doomsday
$10 交易量
21%
Toy Story 5
$10 交易量
7%
Dune: Messiah
$10 交易量
5%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$81 交易量
4%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$10 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$2,212结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,212结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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