Fragmented support across more than a dozen candidates, with voters selecting two senators, keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among Janaina Riva, José Medeiros, Mauro Mendes, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques. Mid-August Real Time Big Data polling shows Mendes and Riva leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals in the mid-20s while the trailing group sits in the low teens, reflecting a technical tie within margins of error after recent party conventions formalized candidacies. Trader consensus assigns Riva the highest implied probability for second place amid this dispersion. Further polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements before the October 4 election could consolidate preferences and widen gaps, while sustained fragmentation would preserve the current tightness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于何塞·梅德罗斯 40%
加尔万 39%
内尔逊·费雷拉教授 38%
毛罗·门德斯 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
何塞·梅德罗斯
40%
加尔万
39%
内尔逊·费雷拉教授
38%
毛罗·门德斯
27%
法瓦罗
25%
达尔文上校
25%
雅娜伊娜·里瓦
24%
Beny Godoy
23%
佩德罗·塔克斯
21%
玛加雷特·布泽蒂
16%
何塞·梅德罗斯 40%
加尔万 39%
内尔逊·费雷拉教授 38%
毛罗·门德斯 27%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
何塞·梅德罗斯
$43 交易量
40%
加尔万
$43 交易量
39%
内尔逊·费雷拉教授
$43 交易量
38%
毛罗·门德斯
$43 交易量
27%
法瓦罗
$43 交易量
25%
达尔文上校
$43 交易量
25%
雅娜伊娜·里瓦
$143 交易量
24%
Beny Godoy
$43 交易量
23%
佩德罗·塔克斯
$43 交易量
21%
玛加雷特·布泽蒂
$43 交易量
16%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fragmented support across more than a dozen candidates, with voters selecting two senators, keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among Janaina Riva, José Medeiros, Mauro Mendes, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques. Mid-August Real Time Big Data polling shows Mendes and Riva leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals in the mid-20s while the trailing group sits in the low teens, reflecting a technical tie within margins of error after recent party conventions formalized candidacies. Trader consensus assigns Riva the highest implied probability for second place amid this dispersion. Further polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements before the October 4 election could consolidate preferences and widen gaps, while sustained fragmentation would preserve the current tightness.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fragmented support across more than a dozen candidates, with voters selecting two senators, keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among Janaina Riva, José Medeiros, Mauro Mendes, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques. Mid-August Real Time Big Data polling shows Mendes and Riva leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals in the mid-20s while the trailing group sits in the low teens, reflecting a technical tie within margins of error after recent party conventions formalized candidacies. Trader consensus assigns Riva the highest implied probability for second place amid this dispersion. Further polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements before the October 4 election could consolidate preferences and widen gaps, while sustained fragmentation would preserve the current tightness.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$532结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fragmented support across more than a dozen candidates, with voters selecting two senators, keeps second-place probabilities tightly clustered among Janaina Riva, José Medeiros, Mauro Mendes, Carlos Fávaro, and Pedro Taques. Mid-August Real Time Big Data polling shows Mendes and Riva leading consolidated first- and second-preference totals in the mid-20s while the trailing group sits in the low teens, reflecting a technical tie within margins of error after recent party conventions formalized candidacies. Trader consensus assigns Riva the highest implied probability for second place amid this dispersion. Further polling releases, candidate debates, or endorsements before the October 4 election could consolidate preferences and widen gaps, while sustained fragmentation would preserve the current tightness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题