The PL's August 2026 convention formalized Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni as its Senate ticket in Santa Catarina, backed by Governor Jorginho Mello and Flávio Bolsonaro. Traders assign Carlos a modest lead for first place, reflecting the national profile of the Bolsonaro name and family mobilization despite April polling showing de Toni ahead. Internal tensions have surfaced, with some bolsonarista factions preferring Esperidião Amin or viewing Carlos's relocation from Rio as disruptive to local arrangements. The two-seat race remains fluid ahead of the October 4 vote, where coalition strength, turnout among conservative voters, and any late shifts in right-wing alliances could separate the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 38%
Décio Lima 2.5%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Carlos Bolsonaro
56%
Carol de Toni
38%
Décio Lima
2%
Joaninha de Oliveira
2%
Afrânio Boppré
2%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%
Carol
2%
Marlene Soccas
1%
Esperidião Amin
1%
Marcos Dorval
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 56%
Carol de Toni 38%
Décio Lima 2.5%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Carlos Bolsonaro
$659 交易量
56%
Carol de Toni
$1,205 交易量
38%
Décio Lima
$142 交易量
2%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$172 交易量
2%
Afrânio Boppré
$142 交易量
2%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$126 交易量
2%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$447 交易量
2%
Carol
$126 交易量
2%
Marlene Soccas
$215 交易量
1%
Esperidião Amin
$126 交易量
1%
Marcos Dorval
$94 交易量
1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$126 交易量
<1%
Lunelli
$201 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The PL's August 2026 convention formalized Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni as its Senate ticket in Santa Catarina, backed by Governor Jorginho Mello and Flávio Bolsonaro. Traders assign Carlos a modest lead for first place, reflecting the national profile of the Bolsonaro name and family mobilization despite April polling showing de Toni ahead. Internal tensions have surfaced, with some bolsonarista factions preferring Esperidião Amin or viewing Carlos's relocation from Rio as disruptive to local arrangements. The two-seat race remains fluid ahead of the October 4 vote, where coalition strength, turnout among conservative voters, and any late shifts in right-wing alliances could separate the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$3,784结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The PL's August 2026 convention formalized Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni as its Senate ticket in Santa Catarina, backed by Governor Jorginho Mello and Flávio Bolsonaro. Traders assign Carlos a modest lead for first place, reflecting the national profile of the Bolsonaro name and family mobilization despite April polling showing de Toni ahead. Internal tensions have surfaced, with some bolsonarista factions preferring Esperidião Amin or viewing Carlos's relocation from Rio as disruptive to local arrangements. The two-seat race remains fluid ahead of the October 4 vote, where coalition strength, turnout among conservative voters, and any late shifts in right-wing alliances could separate the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,784结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The PL's August 2026 convention formalized Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni as its Senate ticket in Santa Catarina, backed by Governor Jorginho Mello and Flávio Bolsonaro. Traders assign Carlos a modest lead for first place, reflecting the national profile of the Bolsonaro name and family mobilization despite April polling showing de Toni ahead. Internal tensions have surfaced, with some bolsonarista factions preferring Esperidião Amin or viewing Carlos's relocation from Rio as disruptive to local arrangements. The two-seat race remains fluid ahead of the October 4 vote, where coalition strength, turnout among conservative voters, and any late shifts in right-wing alliances could separate the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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