The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with trader odds reflecting an open contest among more than a dozen registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polls from Quaest and Datafolha showed Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in vote intention, yet André do Prado, Guilherme Derrite, Ricardo Salles and others clustered within the margin of error, underscoring the impact of party alliances, regional name recognition and voter turnout patterns on first-place positioning. With registration deadlines recently passed and limited new polling since late July, the market pricing captures the absence of decisive momentum shifts or major campaign events that could consolidate support behind any single contender.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Soninha Francine 45%
André do Prado 20%
Ednelson Cesaretti 17%
Weller Gonçalves 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Soninha Francine
45%
André do Prado
20%
Ednelson Cesaretti
17%
Weller Gonçalves
15%
Salles
14%
Simone Tebet
13%
Guilherme Derrite
13%
Petter Maahs
10%
Geraldo Rufino
9%
Maíra de Souza
8%
William Teixeira
5%
Marcio Alves
5%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
5%
Marina Silva
47%
Soninha Francine 45%
André do Prado 20%
Ednelson Cesaretti 17%
Weller Gonçalves 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Soninha Francine
$36 交易量
45%
André do Prado
$36 交易量
20%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$65 交易量
17%
Weller Gonçalves
$58 交易量
15%
Salles
$42 交易量
14%
Simone Tebet
$56 交易量
13%
Guilherme Derrite
$370 交易量
13%
Petter Maahs
$58 交易量
10%
Geraldo Rufino
$36 交易量
9%
Maíra de Souza
$36 交易量
8%
William Teixeira
$143 交易量
5%
Marcio Alves
$77 交易量
5%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$74 交易量
5%
Marina Silva
$36 交易量
47%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with trader odds reflecting an open contest among more than a dozen registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polls from Quaest and Datafolha showed Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in vote intention, yet André do Prado, Guilherme Derrite, Ricardo Salles and others clustered within the margin of error, underscoring the impact of party alliances, regional name recognition and voter turnout patterns on first-place positioning. With registration deadlines recently passed and limited new polling since late July, the market pricing captures the absence of decisive momentum shifts or major campaign events that could consolidate support behind any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$1,113结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with trader odds reflecting an open contest among more than a dozen registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polls from Quaest and Datafolha showed Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in vote intention, yet André do Prado, Guilherme Derrite, Ricardo Salles and others clustered within the margin of error, underscoring the impact of party alliances, regional name recognition and voter turnout patterns on first-place positioning. With registration deadlines recently passed and limited new polling since late July, the market pricing captures the absence of decisive momentum shifts or major campaign events that could consolidate support behind any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,113结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with trader odds reflecting an open contest among more than a dozen registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polls from Quaest and Datafolha showed Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads in vote intention, yet André do Prado, Guilherme Derrite, Ricardo Salles and others clustered within the margin of error, underscoring the impact of party alliances, regional name recognition and voter turnout patterns on first-place positioning. With registration deadlines recently passed and limited new polling since late July, the market pricing captures the absence of decisive momentum shifts or major campaign events that could consolidate support behind any single contender.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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