Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·孔塔尔 53%
罗伯托·大城 19%
Valter da Comagran 19%
Luiz Lemes 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·孔塔尔
53%
罗伯托·大城
19%
Valter da Comagran
19%
Luiz Lemes
19%
Vander Loubet
19%
Valderi Garcia
18%
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
14%
索拉娅
8%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔
6%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
5%
卡皮唐·孔塔尔 53%
罗伯托·大城 19%
Valter da Comagran 19%
Luiz Lemes 19%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·孔塔尔
$339 交易量
53%
罗伯托·大城
$44 交易量
19%
Valter da Comagran
$44 交易量
19%
Luiz Lemes
$44 交易量
19%
Vander Loubet
$44 交易量
19%
Valderi Garcia
$44 交易量
18%
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
$44 交易量
14%
索拉娅
$44 交易量
8%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥尔
$44 交易量
6%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
$44 交易量
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$734结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$734结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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