Recent model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling for Tokyo on September 8, supporting minimum temperatures in the 24–26°C range. Persistent showers and a lack of clear skies align with elevated late-summer baselines rather than sharper drops toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact timing of any breaks in cloud or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日东京气温最低？
9月8日东京气温最低？
20°C或以下 39.5%
25°C 33%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
39%
21°C
1%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
21%
25°C
33%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
1%
20°C或以下 39.5%
25°C 33%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
33%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling for Tokyo on September 8, supporting minimum temperatures in the 24–26°C range. Persistent showers and a lack of clear skies align with elevated late-summer baselines rather than sharper drops toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact timing of any breaks in cloud or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling for Tokyo on September 8, supporting minimum temperatures in the 24–26°C range. Persistent showers and a lack of clear skies align with elevated late-summer baselines rather than sharper drops toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact timing of any breaks in cloud or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicates persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southerly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling for Tokyo on September 8, supporting minimum temperatures in the 24–26°C range. Persistent showers and a lack of clear skies align with elevated late-summer baselines rather than sharper drops toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around exact timing of any breaks in cloud or wind shifts that could allow brief cooling, with upcoming model runs and official briefings likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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