Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日深圳最低气温？
8月30日深圳最低气温？
25°C 100.0%
24°C 19%
23°C or below 3%
26°C <1%
$2,398 交易量
$2,398 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C 19%
23°C or below 3%
26°C <1%
$2,398 交易量
$2,398 交易量
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$33 交易量
No
24°C
$34 交易量
No
25°C
$80 交易量
Yes
26°C
$791 交易量
No
27°C
$340 交易量
No
28°C
$661 交易量
No
29°C
$50 交易量
No
30°C
$30 交易量
No
31°C
$30 交易量
No
32°C
$320 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,398结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,398结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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