Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity from regional monsoon patterns are capping daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31°C on August 31 according to consensus forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models. These conditions promote convective rainfall that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling, distinguishing outcomes around the 30–31°C threshold from clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings higher. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–32°C, but the current moist, stable air mass aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C over warmer or cooler extremes. Official station observations will resolve the market once released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日深圳气温最高？
8月31日深圳气温最高？
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
最新
$12,562 交易量
最新
$12,562 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
最新
$12,562 交易量
最新
$12,562 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$568 交易量
<1%
25°C
$516 交易量
<1%
26°C
$516 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,235 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,588 交易量
5%
29°C
$2,002 交易量
18%
30°C
$1,612 交易量
35%
31°C
$1,802 交易量
32%
32°C
$539 交易量
10%
33°C
$833 交易量
4%
34°C or higher
$353 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity from regional monsoon patterns are capping daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31°C on August 31 according to consensus forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models. These conditions promote convective rainfall that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling, distinguishing outcomes around the 30–31°C threshold from clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings higher. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–32°C, but the current moist, stable air mass aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C over warmer or cooler extremes. Official station observations will resolve the market once released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,562结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity from regional monsoon patterns are capping daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31°C on August 31 according to consensus forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models. These conditions promote convective rainfall that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling, distinguishing outcomes around the 30–31°C threshold from clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings higher. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–32°C, but the current moist, stable air mass aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C over warmer or cooler extremes. Official station observations will resolve the market once released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,562结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity from regional monsoon patterns are capping daytime heating in Shenzhen, keeping maximum temperatures near 30–31°C on August 31 according to consensus forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models. These conditions promote convective rainfall that reduces solar insolation and enhances evaporative cooling, distinguishing outcomes around the 30–31°C threshold from clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings higher. Late-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–32°C, but the current moist, stable air mass aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C over warmer or cooler extremes. Official station observations will resolve the market once released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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