Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models, converge on an overnight low of 25–27°C for Shanghai on August 31, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the late-August pattern of warm, moist air masses over eastern China, where typical minimums range 24–26°C but recent days have run slightly warmer. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most probable outcome, with 28°C as the secondary possibility if clearing allows marginally less cooling; probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or model shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日上海最低气温？
8月31日上海最低气温？
27°C 71%
28°C 22%
26°C 8%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
71%
28°C
22%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 71%
28°C 22%
26°C 8%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$58 交易量
<1%
23°C
$262 交易量
<1%
24°C
$117 交易量
<1%
25°C
$111 交易量
<1%
26°C
$591 交易量
8%
27°C
$2,544 交易量
71%
28°C
$1,917 交易量
22%
29°C
$243 交易量
<1%
30°C
$129 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,062 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models, converge on an overnight low of 25–27°C for Shanghai on August 31, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the late-August pattern of warm, moist air masses over eastern China, where typical minimums range 24–26°C but recent days have run slightly warmer. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most probable outcome, with 28°C as the secondary possibility if clearing allows marginally less cooling; probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or model shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,091结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models, converge on an overnight low of 25–27°C for Shanghai on August 31, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the late-August pattern of warm, moist air masses over eastern China, where typical minimums range 24–26°C but recent days have run slightly warmer. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most probable outcome, with 28°C as the secondary possibility if clearing allows marginally less cooling; probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or model shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,091结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological services, including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models, converge on an overnight low of 25–27°C for Shanghai on August 31, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the late-August pattern of warm, moist air masses over eastern China, where typical minimums range 24–26°C but recent days have run slightly warmer. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the most probable outcome, with 28°C as the secondary possibility if clearing allows marginally less cooling; probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent a stronger frontal passage or model shift before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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