Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on August 30 at 27°C, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity near 90%, and lingering cloud cover with light rain that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where subtropical maritime air masses typically hold minimum temperatures in the upper 20s°C. The market's 98% implied probability for 27°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations confirming no significant cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below the threshold, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日上海最低气温？
8月30日上海最低气温？
27°C 99%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,914 交易量
$12,914 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,914 交易量
$12,914 交易量
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$103 交易量
<1%
23°C
$108 交易量
<1%
24°C
$108 交易量
<1%
25°C
$77 交易量
<1%
26°C
$675 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,695 交易量
99%
28°C
$6,488 交易量
<1%
29°C
$266 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,168 交易量
<1%
31°C
$118 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$108 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on August 30 at 27°C, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity near 90%, and lingering cloud cover with light rain that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where subtropical maritime air masses typically hold minimum temperatures in the upper 20s°C. The market's 98% implied probability for 27°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations confirming no significant cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below the threshold, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,914结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on August 30 at 27°C, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity near 90%, and lingering cloud cover with light rain that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where subtropical maritime air masses typically hold minimum temperatures in the upper 20s°C. The market's 98% implied probability for 27°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations confirming no significant cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below the threshold, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,914结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on August 30 at 27°C, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity near 90%, and lingering cloud cover with light rain that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where subtropical maritime air masses typically hold minimum temperatures in the upper 20s°C. The market's 98% implied probability for 27°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations confirming no significant cold advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing nocturnal cooling below the threshold, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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