Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced mild overnight radiative cooling, with official forecasts from monitoring agencies projecting a minimum temperature of 20°C for Incheon on September 19. Multiple model runs show light northeasterly winds and dew points near 15–17°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied odds for 20°C. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations indicate low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月19日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
20°C 99.4%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,896 交易量
$12,896 交易量
2026-09-19
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 99.4%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,896 交易量
$12,896 交易量
2026-09-19
14°C或以下
$51 交易量
1%
15°C
$51 交易量
1%
16°C
$402 交易量
<1%
17°C
$509 交易量
<1%
18°C
$893 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,172 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,016 交易量
99%
21°C
$2,463 交易量
<1%
22°C
$496 交易量
<1%
23°C
$791 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$51 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced mild overnight radiative cooling, with official forecasts from monitoring agencies projecting a minimum temperature of 20°C for Incheon on September 19. Multiple model runs show light northeasterly winds and dew points near 15–17°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied odds for 20°C. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations indicate low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,896结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced mild overnight radiative cooling, with official forecasts from monitoring agencies projecting a minimum temperature of 20°C for Incheon on September 19. Multiple model runs show light northeasterly winds and dew points near 15–17°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied odds for 20°C. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations indicate low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,896结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETStable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced mild overnight radiative cooling, with official forecasts from monitoring agencies projecting a minimum temperature of 20°C for Incheon on September 19. Multiple model runs show light northeasterly winds and dew points near 15–17°C limiting further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. This underpins the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied odds for 20°C. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover or wind speed could push readings to 19°C or below, though current observations indicate low likelihood before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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