Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent light to moderate rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing on September 21, suppressing daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 26–27 °C. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 30 °C amid increasing monsoon influence and shorter daylight. Key differentiating factors among closely matched market outcomes include the precise timing of heaviest precipitation relative to peak solar insolation, minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture, and local topographic effects in the Yangtze River valley that can produce 1–2 °C variations in observed maxima. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日重庆气温最高?
18°C或以下 39%
25°C 22%
26°C 20%
23°C 19%
18°C或以下
39%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
20%
27°C
17%
28℃或更高
5%
18°C或以下 39%
25°C 22%
26°C 20%
23°C 19%
18°C或以下
39%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
20%
27°C
17%
28℃或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent light to moderate rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing on September 21, suppressing daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 26–27 °C. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 30 °C amid increasing monsoon influence and shorter daylight. Key differentiating factors among closely matched market outcomes include the precise timing of heaviest precipitation relative to peak solar insolation, minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture, and local topographic effects in the Yangtze River valley that can produce 1–2 °C variations in observed maxima. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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