Traders remain closely divided between the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins for New York City’s lowest temperature today because National Weather Service forecasts show only marginal overnight cooling amid light northwest winds and variable high cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. The urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure tends to elevate minimum readings by 2–4°F compared with rural surroundings, while any Atlantic sea breeze could further moderate temperatures near the coast. With no significant precipitation expected, evaporative cooling remains weak, and Global Forecast System model runs place the Central Park minimum in a narrow window that straddles the two leading outcomes. Hourly observations through the evening will determine the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月12日的最低温度？
纽约市8月12日的最低温度？
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 4%
70-71°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
63°F或更低
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 4%
70-71°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
63°F或更低
$430 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$30 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$536 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$285 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$662 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$621 交易量
47%
74-75°F
$995 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$63 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$824 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,118 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$678 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders remain closely divided between the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins for New York City’s lowest temperature today because National Weather Service forecasts show only marginal overnight cooling amid light northwest winds and variable high cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. The urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure tends to elevate minimum readings by 2–4°F compared with rural surroundings, while any Atlantic sea breeze could further moderate temperatures near the coast. With no significant precipitation expected, evaporative cooling remains weak, and Global Forecast System model runs place the Central Park minimum in a narrow window that straddles the two leading outcomes. Hourly observations through the evening will determine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$7,243结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders remain closely divided between the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins for New York City’s lowest temperature today because National Weather Service forecasts show only marginal overnight cooling amid light northwest winds and variable high cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. The urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure tends to elevate minimum readings by 2–4°F compared with rural surroundings, while any Atlantic sea breeze could further moderate temperatures near the coast. With no significant precipitation expected, evaporative cooling remains weak, and Global Forecast System model runs place the Central Park minimum in a narrow window that straddles the two leading outcomes. Hourly observations through the evening will determine the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,243结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTraders remain closely divided between the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins for New York City’s lowest temperature today because National Weather Service forecasts show only marginal overnight cooling amid light northwest winds and variable high cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. The urban heat island effect from dense infrastructure tends to elevate minimum readings by 2–4°F compared with rural surroundings, while any Atlantic sea breeze could further moderate temperatures near the coast. With no significant precipitation expected, evaporative cooling remains weak, and Global Forecast System model runs place the Central Park minimum in a narrow window that straddles the two leading outcomes. Hourly observations through the evening will determine the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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