Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds will produce an overnight minimum near 8°C in Munich on September 18. This aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon highs around 20–21°C followed by steady evening declines, positioning 8°C as the dominant market outcome at 90% implied probability. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warmer advection compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 9.8°C for the date. Traders are monitoring final station readings through midnight local time, as any unexpected increase in cloudiness or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月18日慕尼黑最低气温？
8°C 99.5%
7°C 10%
6°C 1.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
$6,220 交易量
$6,220 交易量
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
8°C 99.5%
7°C 10%
6°C 1.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
$6,220 交易量
$6,220 交易量
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
$807 交易量
否
6°C
$197 交易量
否
7°C
$142 交易量
否
8°C
$169 交易量
是
9°C
$4,706 交易量
否
10°C
$57 交易量
否
11°C
$37 交易量
否
12°C
$37 交易量
否
13°C
$37 交易量
否
14°C
$15 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds will produce an overnight minimum near 8°C in Munich on September 18. This aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon highs around 20–21°C followed by steady evening declines, positioning 8°C as the dominant market outcome at 90% implied probability. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warmer advection compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 9.8°C for the date. Traders are monitoring final station readings through midnight local time, as any unexpected increase in cloudiness or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$6,220结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds will produce an overnight minimum near 8°C in Munich on September 18. This aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon highs around 20–21°C followed by steady evening declines, positioning 8°C as the dominant market outcome at 90% implied probability. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warmer advection compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 9.8°C for the date. Traders are monitoring final station readings through midnight local time, as any unexpected increase in cloudiness or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,220结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds will produce an overnight minimum near 8°C in Munich on September 18. This aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon highs around 20–21°C followed by steady evening declines, positioning 8°C as the dominant market outcome at 90% implied probability. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warmer advection compared to the 1991–2020 average low of 9.8°C for the date. Traders are monitoring final station readings through midnight local time, as any unexpected increase in cloudiness or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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