Forecast models and real-time observations from sources including the German Weather Service and international ensembles indicate Munich's temperature will bottom out near 11°C overnight on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity after a daytime high around 21–23°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 10°C, and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability for an 11°C minimum. Shifts in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could alter the exact low by a degree or two before official station readings finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日慕尼黑最低气温?
11°C 99.6%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 交易量
$1,304 交易量
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
11°C 99.6%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 交易量
$1,304 交易量
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and real-time observations from sources including the German Weather Service and international ensembles indicate Munich's temperature will bottom out near 11°C overnight on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and radiative cooling under moderate humidity after a daytime high around 21–23°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 10°C, and supports the overwhelming market-implied probability for an 11°C minimum. Shifts in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or stronger winds could alter the exact low by a degree or two before official station readings finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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