Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, driven by a cut-off low pressure system producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light south-easterly winds shifting northwest. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 21–22°C and model consensus capping the daily high at or just below 25°C amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Trader consensus at 96% for 25°C reflects this data-driven outlook, though slight upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing allows brief warming beyond current projections; cooler outcomes remain improbable without unexpected intensification of onshore flow or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日开普敦气温最高?
25°C 99.3%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
$37,060 交易量
$37,060 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 99.3%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
$37,060 交易量
$37,060 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, driven by a cut-off low pressure system producing cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light south-easterly winds shifting northwest. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 21–22°C and model consensus capping the daily high at or just below 25°C amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Trader consensus at 96% for 25°C reflects this data-driven outlook, though slight upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing allows brief warming beyond current projections; cooler outcomes remain improbable without unexpected intensification of onshore flow or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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