**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.** Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日釜山气温最高？
9月13日釜山气温最高？
30°C 100.0%
26℃或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,314 交易量
$30,314 交易量
2026-09-13
26℃或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
30°C 100.0%
26℃或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$30,314 交易量
$30,314 交易量
2026-09-13
26℃或以下
$12,030 交易量
<1%
27°C
$668 交易量
<1%
28°C
$692 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,460 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,691 交易量
100%
31°C
$3,788 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,641 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,351 交易量
<1%
34°C
$236 交易量
<1%
35°C
$694 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$63 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.**
Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity.
The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$30,314结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.**
Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity.
The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,314结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader sentiment strongly favors 30°C as the day's highest temperature in Busan, reflecting near-certainty based on real-time observations and forecasts.** Official data from the Korea Meteorological Administration and multiple forecast models show clear to partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching 28–29°C (around 83–84°F) under southerly winds of 5–10 mph and moderate humidity. These conditions align closely with 30°C resolution criteria, consistent with late-summer patterns for the region where daily maxima often peak near this level without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. The overwhelming market-implied probability (99.7%) stems from live temperature readings already approaching this threshold by mid-afternoon on September 13, 2026, with little expected deviation before evening cooling. Realistic challenges remain limited but include minor model adjustments if localized sea breezes intensify or if a brief cloud increase caps the peak slightly below 30°C; conversely, a brief spike above could occur under stronger insolation. No major weather systems are indicated that would shift the outcome outside this narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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