Traders have converged on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 as the dominant outcome, reflecting consistent official forecasts from agencies such as MetService and international models projecting a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating southerly winds. Current observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 8–10°C to afternoon peaks aligned with this threshold, consistent with typical early-spring climatology in the region. This market-implied certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread in the latest runs. Unseasonal northerly flow or increased cloud cover suppressing insolation could realistically cap the high below 16°C, while clearer skies or a shift in wind direction might push readings higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$58,978 交易量
$58,978 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$58,978 交易量
$58,978 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$704 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
<1%
12°C
$691 交易量
<1%
13°C
$4,758 交易量
<1%
14°C
$11,290 交易量
<1%
15°C
$13,267 交易量
<1%
16°C
$11,552 交易量
100%
17°C
$3,937 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,355 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,989 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$7,151 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 as the dominant outcome, reflecting consistent official forecasts from agencies such as MetService and international models projecting a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating southerly winds. Current observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 8–10°C to afternoon peaks aligned with this threshold, consistent with typical early-spring climatology in the region. This market-implied certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread in the latest runs. Unseasonal northerly flow or increased cloud cover suppressing insolation could realistically cap the high below 16°C, while clearer skies or a shift in wind direction might push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$58,978结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 as the dominant outcome, reflecting consistent official forecasts from agencies such as MetService and international models projecting a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating southerly winds. Current observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 8–10°C to afternoon peaks aligned with this threshold, consistent with typical early-spring climatology in the region. This market-implied certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread in the latest runs. Unseasonal northerly flow or increased cloud cover suppressing insolation could realistically cap the high below 16°C, while clearer skies or a shift in wind direction might push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,978结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTraders have converged on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 as the dominant outcome, reflecting consistent official forecasts from agencies such as MetService and international models projecting a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under partly cloudy skies with moderating southerly winds. Current observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 8–10°C to afternoon peaks aligned with this threshold, consistent with typical early-spring climatology in the region. This market-implied certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and minimal model spread in the latest runs. Unseasonal northerly flow or increased cloud cover suppressing insolation could realistically cap the high below 16°C, while clearer skies or a shift in wind direction might push readings higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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