Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which promotes rapid radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light rain and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season that limits daytime heat retention. Traders favor 14°C as the implied probability leader because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late-summer conditions, with steering patterns and dew-point levels suppressing deeper drops below 12°C while capping upside near 15°C absent a clear high-pressure ridge. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月14日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月14日的最低温度？
14°C 42%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
7℃或以下
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
22%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
35%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C或更高
39%
14°C 42%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
7℃或以下
$0 交易量
2%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
22%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
35%
14°C
$7 交易量
39%
15°C
$58 交易量
39%
16°C
$48 交易量
39%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which promotes rapid radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light rain and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season that limits daytime heat retention. Traders favor 14°C as the implied probability leader because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late-summer conditions, with steering patterns and dew-point levels suppressing deeper drops below 12°C while capping upside near 15°C absent a clear high-pressure ridge. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
交易量
$113结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which promotes rapid radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light rain and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season that limits daytime heat retention. Traders favor 14°C as the implied probability leader because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late-summer conditions, with steering patterns and dew-point levels suppressing deeper drops below 12°C while capping upside near 15°C absent a clear high-pressure ridge. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$113结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a Mexico City overnight low near 13–14°C on September 14, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which promotes rapid radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with light rain and high humidity from the ongoing rainy season that limits daytime heat retention. Traders favor 14°C as the implied probability leader because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for late-summer conditions, with steering patterns and dew-point levels suppressing deeper drops below 12°C while capping upside near 15°C absent a clear high-pressure ridge. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题