Traders see nearly even odds between 74-75°F and 76-77°F as NYC’s September 14 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around those thresholds with modest spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover. The National Weather Service and global models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest, which could either limit insolation or allow brief clearing that pushes readings one or two degrees higher. Historical September climatology for Central Park places average highs near 75°F, providing context for the current outlook. New model runs and updated NWS guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日纽约市最高气温？
9月14日纽约市最高气温？
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$20,532 交易量
最新
$20,532 交易量
2026-09-14
65华氏度或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$20,532 交易量
最新
$20,532 交易量
2026-09-14
65华氏度或以下
$246 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$228 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$418 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$651 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,489 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$6,122 交易量
51%
76-77°F
$4,780 交易量
43%
78-79°F
$4,060 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$914 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$1,386 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 74-75°F and 76-77°F as NYC’s September 14 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around those thresholds with modest spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover. The National Weather Service and global models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest, which could either limit insolation or allow brief clearing that pushes readings one or two degrees higher. Historical September climatology for Central Park places average highs near 75°F, providing context for the current outlook. New model runs and updated NWS guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$20,532结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 74-75°F and 76-77°F as NYC’s September 14 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around those thresholds with modest spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover. The National Weather Service and global models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest, which could either limit insolation or allow brief clearing that pushes readings one or two degrees higher. Historical September climatology for Central Park places average highs near 75°F, providing context for the current outlook. New model runs and updated NWS guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,532结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETTraders see nearly even odds between 74-75°F and 76-77°F as NYC’s September 14 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around those thresholds with modest spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover. The National Weather Service and global models such as the GFS and ECMWF indicate a weak frontal boundary approaching from the northwest, which could either limit insolation or allow brief clearing that pushes readings one or two degrees higher. Historical September climatology for Central Park places average highs near 75°F, providing context for the current outlook. New model runs and updated NWS guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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