Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center establish the primary driver for the 18°C market consensus, projecting a daytime high of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 4–9 m/s and pressure near 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align on this range for September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn patterns and the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures. Trader positioning reflects this verified observational baseline rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require the official recorded maximum—measured at standard stations—to fall outside 18°C due to localized timing of the peak or minor forecast error within the uncertainty envelope of numerical weather prediction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日莫斯科最高气温？
9月13日莫斯科最高气温？
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14℃ <1%
15°C <1%
$28,356 交易量
$28,356 交易量
2026-09-13
13°C或以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14℃ <1%
15°C <1%
$28,356 交易量
$28,356 交易量
2026-09-13
13°C或以下
$1,105 交易量
<1%
14℃
$1,498 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,244 交易量
<1%
16°C
$4,707 交易量
<1%
17°C
$7,085 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5,251 交易量
100%
19°C
$4,070 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,765 交易量
<1%
21°C
$315 交易量
<1%
22°C
$158 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$158 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center establish the primary driver for the 18°C market consensus, projecting a daytime high of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 4–9 m/s and pressure near 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align on this range for September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn patterns and the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures. Trader positioning reflects this verified observational baseline rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require the official recorded maximum—measured at standard stations—to fall outside 18°C due to localized timing of the peak or minor forecast error within the uncertainty envelope of numerical weather prediction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$28,356结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center establish the primary driver for the 18°C market consensus, projecting a daytime high of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 4–9 m/s and pressure near 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align on this range for September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn patterns and the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures. Trader positioning reflects this verified observational baseline rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require the official recorded maximum—measured at standard stations—to fall outside 18°C due to localized timing of the peak or minor forecast error within the uncertainty envelope of numerical weather prediction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,356结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center establish the primary driver for the 18°C market consensus, projecting a daytime high of 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 4–9 m/s and pressure near 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align on this range for September 13, consistent with typical early-autumn patterns and the absence of significant advection or cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures. Trader positioning reflects this verified observational baseline rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require the official recorded maximum—measured at standard stations—to fall outside 18°C due to localized timing of the peak or minor forecast error within the uncertainty envelope of numerical weather prediction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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