Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate a high near 18–19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support modest daytime warming without strong advection or clear-sky solar heating that could push temperatures higher. Trader consensus between the two leading outcomes reflects model spread and typical observational uncertainty in daily maximum readings, while historical September averages near 17°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and final station data will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日莫斯科最高气温?
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
20°C 6%
17°C 4%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
45%
19°C
48%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
20°C 6%
17°C 4%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
45%
19°C
48%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate a high near 18–19°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly to southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions support modest daytime warming without strong advection or clear-sky solar heating that could push temperatures higher. Trader consensus between the two leading outcomes reflects model spread and typical observational uncertainty in daily maximum readings, while historical September averages near 17°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Official Hydrometeorological Center updates and final station data will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题