Short-term forecast uncertainty from global and regional models is the main driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C for Panama City’s September 15 high. September climatology features typical daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid the rainy season, modulated by variable cloud cover, moisture from the Caribbean, and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Recent model runs show small spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and afternoon convection timing, keeping outcomes between 30°C and 33°C or higher nearly equally plausible. Official updates from regional meteorological services and the next ECMWF or GFS cycles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日巴拿马城气温最高？
9月15日巴拿马城气温最高？
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C或更高 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C或更高
19%
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C或更高 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$20 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$0 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
30%
33°C或更高
$0 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from global and regional models is the main driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C for Panama City’s September 15 high. September climatology features typical daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid the rainy season, modulated by variable cloud cover, moisture from the Caribbean, and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Recent model runs show small spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and afternoon convection timing, keeping outcomes between 30°C and 33°C or higher nearly equally plausible. Official updates from regional meteorological services and the next ECMWF or GFS cycles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from global and regional models is the main driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C for Panama City’s September 15 high. September climatology features typical daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid the rainy season, modulated by variable cloud cover, moisture from the Caribbean, and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Recent model runs show small spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and afternoon convection timing, keeping outcomes between 30°C and 33°C or higher nearly equally plausible. Official updates from regional meteorological services and the next ECMWF or GFS cycles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETShort-term forecast uncertainty from global and regional models is the main driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C for Panama City’s September 15 high. September climatology features typical daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid the rainy season, modulated by variable cloud cover, moisture from the Caribbean, and weak steering winds that limit rapid changes. Recent model runs show small spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and afternoon convection timing, keeping outcomes between 30°C and 33°C or higher nearly equally plausible. Official updates from regional meteorological services and the next ECMWF or GFS cycles will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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