Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日广州气温最高？
9月15日广州气温最高？
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
32%
35°C
18%
36°C
9%
37°C或更高
4%
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
32°C 22%
35°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$9 交易量
3%
30°C
$50 交易量
5%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$0 交易量
22%
33°C
$0 交易量
23%
34°C
$0 交易量
32%
35°C
$0 交易量
18%
36°C
$27 交易量
9%
37°C或更高
$10 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$116结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$116结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models for Guangzhou on September 15 converge on daytime highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of thunderstorms and light northeasterly winds. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from the ongoing rainy pattern limit surface heating, keeping peaks near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 32°C. Ensemble agreement is high on this range, though exact maxima remain sensitive to storm timing and local urban heat effects. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 30–34°C, reflecting this narrow scientific spread and the limited upside risk from stronger insolation or drier air. Updated guidance through September 14–15 will refine the final peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题