Traders see 24°C and 25°C as the most probable daily highs for Mexico City on September 15, with market odds reflecting modest spread in ensemble forecasts from numerical weather models. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate produces cooler baselines than surrounding lowlands, while the late rainy season often brings afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap maximum temperatures. Recent model guidance shows subtle differences in moisture transport from the Pacific and expected thunderstorm timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 23–24°C align with the tight clustering of probabilities, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range forecasts to small changes in cloud and precipitation patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月15日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C 42%
25°C 33%
27°C或更高 20%
26°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
42%
25°C
33%
26°C
19%
27°C或更高
20%
24°C 42%
25°C 33%
27°C或更高 20%
26°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$35 交易量
16%
24°C
$7 交易量
42%
25°C
$0 交易量
33%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as the most probable daily highs for Mexico City on September 15, with market odds reflecting modest spread in ensemble forecasts from numerical weather models. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate produces cooler baselines than surrounding lowlands, while the late rainy season often brings afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap maximum temperatures. Recent model guidance shows subtle differences in moisture transport from the Pacific and expected thunderstorm timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 23–24°C align with the tight clustering of probabilities, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range forecasts to small changes in cloud and precipitation patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 24°C and 25°C as the most probable daily highs for Mexico City on September 15, with market odds reflecting modest spread in ensemble forecasts from numerical weather models. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate produces cooler baselines than surrounding lowlands, while the late rainy season often brings afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap maximum temperatures. Recent model guidance shows subtle differences in moisture transport from the Pacific and expected thunderstorm timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 23–24°C align with the tight clustering of probabilities, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range forecasts to small changes in cloud and precipitation patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETTraders see 24°C and 25°C as the most probable daily highs for Mexico City on September 15, with market odds reflecting modest spread in ensemble forecasts from numerical weather models. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate produces cooler baselines than surrounding lowlands, while the late rainy season often brings afternoon cloud cover and convection that cap maximum temperatures. Recent model guidance shows subtle differences in moisture transport from the Pacific and expected thunderstorm timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 23–24°C align with the tight clustering of probabilities, underscoring the sensitivity of short-range forecasts to small changes in cloud and precipitation patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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